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数学-数学概念:二项分布弹珠台几率
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关于此实验

主题

  • 概率
  • 统计学
  • 直方图

描述

将小球投入伽尔顿板观察它们如何在容器中积聚。使用柱状图统计模式比较小球分布结果与理想的二项式分布。调整二项分布中的概率并学习统计学知识。

示范 学习目标

  • Predict the bin where a single ball might fall
  • Repeat trials of 100 balls and compare the outcomes
  • Count the number of balls in a bin and relate that to the probability of falling in that bin
  • Compare and interpret empirical and theoretical statistics
  • Apply the plinko simulation as a model to other scenarios where there are weighted statistics

标准对齐

Common Core - Math

6.SP.A.2
Understand that a set of data collected to answer a statistical question has a distribution which can be described by its center, spread, and overall shape.
6.SP.B.4
Display numerical data in plots on a number line, including dot plots, histograms, and box plots.
6.SP.B.5c
Giving quantitative measures of center (median and/or mean) and variability (interquartile range and/or mean absolute deviation), as well as describing any overall pattern and any striking deviations from the overall pattern with reference to the context in which the data were gathered.
7.SP.C.5
Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.
7.SP.C.6
Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability. For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.
HSS-IC.A.2
Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?
HSS-ID.A.1
Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots).
HSS-ID.A.2
Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets.
版本 1.1.18

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